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upont
0xaac2469db4c243a2931acc252967b171bd97e8ce
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 9% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$48K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$12.2K · loses the most in Sports -$40.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$10.1KWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?Sports · Yes
- +$9,986Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Sports · Yes
- +$7,476Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Sports · Yes
- +$7,214Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
- +$6,459Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$114.0KWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Sports · Yes
- -$22.5KWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- -$12.9KWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Sports · Yes
- -$10.3KWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Sports · Yes
- -$7,286Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 15 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$53.5K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 18 | $60K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $348 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $16 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
38% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)