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mamai
0xabbeb2bdd30ba5c51cb14168b068103961648f37
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 11% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 11%Verified PnL#1002 of 1130
Beats 13%30-day PnL#704 of 810
Beats 42%Win rate#536 of 928
Beats 2%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#927 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$29K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.15MVolume
61.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-2.56%PnL ÷ Volume
-$6K7-day PnL
-$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$29.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,308only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$68partial
Liquidity rewards$3
-2.55% ROI55.7% Win rate · n=442
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2,647 · loses the most in Finance -$4,357
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,167Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Weather · Yes
- +$2,072Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics · No
- +$1,259LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,203Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?Weather · Yes
- +$1,149Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,786MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
- -$2,590Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Weather · Yes
- -$2,563US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · No
- -$2,516Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
- -$2,381Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 42 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$26.0K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$29KVerified lifetime PnL
$33KBelow board-day sum
23Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
-$6K7-day PnL
-$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $92 |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $88 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $420 |
Which boards
Tech 12Finance 6Politics 5Crypto 4Culture 2Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $68 (59% maker / 41% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$68
Maker rebate$40
Taker rebate$28
Maker share59%
Taker share41%
Window2026-02-10 → 2026-10-25
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$29K
Verification gap-$33K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)