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0xac482f27ac3d1144ca4f778af405eb5cac5d2feb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 26% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 26%Verified PnL#460 of 624
Beats 29%30-day PnL#419 of 594
Beats 76%Win rate#140 of 592
Beats 75%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#155 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-18
Last seen2026-09-16
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$306KVolume
79.6%Win rate · n=44
2.13%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$8030-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$6,521
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $705only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19partial
Liquidity rewards$8
2.13% ROI77.8% Win rate · n=45
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$3,622
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,773Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaSports · Joao Fonseca
- +$1,864Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1,682Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1,365Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,010Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,500Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Politics · Yes
- -$2,237Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevSports · Flavio Cobolli
- -$1,001French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?Politics · No
- -$608Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsSports · Yes
- -$510Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Sports · No
Covers all 44 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KBelow board-day sum
23Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$8030-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 10 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $62 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $116 |
Which boards
Finance 19Culture 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
44% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $19 (70% maker / 30% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio44%
Fills measured181
Window ends2026-08-17
Window scope190 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$19
Maker rebate$13
Taker rebate$6
Maker share70%
Taker share30%
Window2026-05-17 → 2026-07-18
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL$7K
Verification gap-$2K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)