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tupac8
0xacbca1cf43bd198e734089f198f3725281577cc3
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 69% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 69%Verified PnL#350 of 1130
Beats 30%30-day PnL#567 of 810
Beats 2%Win rate#909 of 928
Beats 75%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#232 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board49
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-08-14
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$110K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.93MVolume
26.8%Win rate (sample) · n=321
2.24%PnL ÷ Volume
$647-day PnL
$18730-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$110.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,339only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$243partial
Liquidity rewards$120
2.24% ROI21.9% Win rate · n=392
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$112.2K · loses the most in Sports -$6,639
Top 5 winning markets
- +$83.3KWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$38.0KWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$18.8KIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$10.3KWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$9,762Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$12.5KWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$11.1KWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$8,899Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsSports · Eternal Fire
- -$7,780James Comey arrested by April 29?Politics · No
- -$5,396Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 71 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$30.3K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$110KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KEarned off the board
49Days on board
$105KBoard-day sum
$647-day PnL
$18730-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $4K |
| 2026-04 | 11 | $86K |
| 2026-05 | 27 | $12K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $152 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $99 |
Which boards
Politics 21Finance 20Culture 11Tech 9Sports 4Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $243 (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$243
Maker rebate$234
Taker rebate$9
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$105K
Verified lifetime PnL$110K
Verification gap$5K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)