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0xad96914d7762dac84ebbabafe366ae8ff24dd498
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 67% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 67%Verified PnL#202 of 624
Beats 50%30-day PnL#296 of 594
Beats 89%Win rate#63 of 592
Beats 55%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#274 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-01
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$167K
Verified lifetime PnL
$14.14MVolume
89.8%Win rate · n=98
1.11%PnL ÷ Volume
$7K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$167.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,329only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,416partial
Liquidity rewards$1,891
1.18% ROI88.9% Win rate · n=99
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$110.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$23.4KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$18.1KNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$12.7KNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Finance · No
- +$10.7KNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$8,499Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$11.6KWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?Politics · No
- -$5,329Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$668Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Finance · Yes
- -$350Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Culture · Yes
- -$100US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers all 106 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$167KVerified lifetime PnL
$114KEarned off the board
39Days on board
$53KBoard-day sum
$7K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 11 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $35K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Politics 13Tech 13Culture 7Mentions 5Crypto 4Weather 1All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
96% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (88% maker / 12% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio96%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$171
Maker share88%
Taker share12%
Window2026-05-12 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$53K
Verified lifetime PnL$167K
Verification gap$114K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)