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Alert-Halving
0xae817ddfed1c3b37ad23b5e9397cd270ae94f04b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$5,259 · loses the most in Politics -$1,737
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,650Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$1,607Marlins vs. RockiesSports · Marlins
- +$1,404Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Sports · Milwaukee Brewers
- +$1,261Cubs vs. BrewersSports · Brewers
- +$1,213Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,050Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?Sports · No
- -$1,623Spread: Colts (-9.5)Sports · Colts
- -$1,519Nationals vs. MetsSports · Mets
- -$1,500Tigers vs. MarinersSports · Mariners
- -$1,398Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 115 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$36.2K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $114 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $154 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)