ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0xaee811b7…
0xaee811b7c7e5d961b545ac0e3f62f5f1cb181154
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 54% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 54%Verified PnL#526 of 1156
Beats 58%30-day PnL#337 of 812
Beats 6%Win rate#898 of 963
Beats 54%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#452 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board64
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-11-04
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$43K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.37MVolume
37.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.98%PnL ÷ Volume
$5K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$42.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $775only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,172partial
Liquidity rewards$5,359
1.26% ROI25.3% Win rate · n=594
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$19.9K · loses the most in Politics -$314
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,227Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$5,179Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$3,297Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture · No
- +$3,118Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Finance · Yes
- +$2,794Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,521Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
- -$3,528Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
- -$2,605Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Finance · Yes
- -$2,339Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Sports · No
- -$2,263Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Finance · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 194 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$5,472). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$43KVerified lifetime PnL
$36KEarned off the board
64Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$5K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $204 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $874 |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $1K |
| 2026-11 | 2 | $257 |
Which boards
Tech 41Finance 23Sports 11Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
84% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (66% maker / 34% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio84%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$777
Taker rebate$395
Maker share66%
Taker share34%
Window2026-01-18 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL$43K
Verification gap$36K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)