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0xaf17116ae2b1476032785a67bd5b7c8c05905c20
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 46% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 46%Verified PnL#335 of 624
Beats 37%30-day PnL#371 of 594
Beats 61%Win rate#226 of 592
Beats 74%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#156 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$41K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.96MVolume
70.1%Win rate (sample) · n=394
2.11%PnL ÷ Volume
$1977-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$41.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $436only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$275partial
Liquidity rewards$356
2.11% ROI31.1% Win rate · n=887
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$52.7K · loses the most in Tech & science -$25.53
Top 5 winning markets
- +$11.3KWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?Weather · Yes
- +$1,468Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 5?Weather · Yes
- +$1,101Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?Weather · Yes
- +$1,101Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?Weather · Yes
- +$1,067Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 15?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$169Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?Weather · No
- -$137Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?Weather · Yes
- -$111Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 9?Weather · No
- -$109Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?Weather · No
- -$100Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Crypto · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$41KVerified lifetime PnL
$35KEarned off the board
39Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$1977-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $221 |
| 2026-05 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $458 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $242 |
Which boards
Weather 39
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
79% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $275 (92% maker / 8% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio79%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$275
Maker rebate$253
Taker rebate$22
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL$41K
Verification gap$35K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)