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opopv2

0xafde461fce5aa0fabdb7711c59db93b65e343e1d

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 52% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 52%Verified PnL#298 of 624
Beats 55%30-day PnL#262 of 594
Beats 1%Win rate#583 of 592
Beats 61%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#241 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board29
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-21
Last seen2026-09-13
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$58K

Verified lifetime PnL

$4.15MVolume
17.1%Win rate (sample) · n=398
1.41%PnL ÷ Volume
$4617-day PnL
$9K30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$57.9K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $350only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,048partial
Liquidity rewards$321
1.39% ROI13.4% Win rate · n=507

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleLongshot buyer72% of 432 buys at ≤ 10¢Mostly maker77% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsIn and out fastMedian hold 14 min across 14 bought-then-sold positionsTrades short-cycle often41% of last 500 fills (over 7 days) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Weather +$80.3K · loses the most in Politics -$1,582

Weather372 pos.+$80.3K
Sports9 pos.+$3,769
Crypto2 pos.+$3,206
Tech & science1 pos.+$2,017
Finance1 pos.+$230
Culture1 pos.-$169
Politics14 pos.-$1,582

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$15.3KWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?Weather · Yes / No
  2. +$6,600Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?Weather · No / Yes
  3. +$5,237Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?Weather · Yes
  4. +$3,505Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?Weather · Yes / No
  5. +$3,457Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?Weather · Yes

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$2,362Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 18?Weather · Yes
  2. -$1,170Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?Weather · Yes
  3. -$1,009Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?Weather · Yes
  4. -$798Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?Weather · No
  5. -$781Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 2?Weather · Yes

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$58KVerified lifetime PnL
$49KEarned off the board
29Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
$4617-day PnL
$9K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 3 $315
2026-06 7 $1K
2026-07 11 $5K
2026-08 6 $2K
2026-09 2 $71

Which boards

Weather 27Politics 1Mentions 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

77% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (52% maker / 48% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio77%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Mixed rebate

Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$544
Taker rebate$504
Maker share52%
Taker share48%
Window2026-05-22 → 2026-10-10

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$58K
Verification gap$49K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)