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bettingonwar
0xaff4dcf2845f89f381c3e65ee348526b7c1fde3c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 31% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$5K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$4,302
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,817Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics · No
- +$709US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics · No
- +$633Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics · No
- +$552Fed rate hike in 2026?Finance · Yes
- +$136US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$66.21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics · No
Covers all 9 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 1 | $318 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $109 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)