ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
clingtastic
0xb0850f4176a8a312c28aac84e3907e610dc77b10
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 16% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 16%Verified PnL#946 of 1130
Beats 39%30-day PnL#490 of 810
Beats 57%Win rate#395 of 928
Beats 2%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#929 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-05
Last seen2026-09-14
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$393KVolume
69.2%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-2.77%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$10.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $10only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$181partial
Liquidity rewards$71
-2.62% ROI51.2% Win rate · n=543
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$5,973 · loses the most in Crypto -$302
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,670Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,284LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 WinnerSports · Dplus KIA Challengers
- +$947LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 WinnerSports · Dplus KIA Challengers
- +$642Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?Culture · No
- +$632Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,213Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- -$1,036Joe Burrow and Olivia Holzmacher break up this season?Sports · No
- -$889Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Down / Up
- -$767US government shutdown Saturday?Politics · No
- -$681Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 142 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$16.4K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$11KBelow board-day sum
6Days on board
$713Board-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 2 | $552 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $148 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $13 |
Which boards
Crypto 2Mentions 2Sports 1Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
52% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $181 (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio52%
Fills measured494
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$181
Maker rebate$160
Taker rebate$20
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-03-29 → 2026-10-17
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$713
Verified lifetime PnL-$10K
Verification gap-$11K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)