ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boards0xb0e74df9…
0xb0e74df9430a089aa102e2207af5fde1967439d2
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 64% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 64%Verified PnL#222 of 622
Beats 5%Win rate#535 of 568
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-08-27
Last seen2026-09-28
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$131K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5KVolume
33%Win rate (sample) · n=400
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$131.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$25
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
— ROI33% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$168.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$107.2KWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No / Yes
- +$80.4KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$71.8KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$36.9KWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$32.4KWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8,500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$8,407Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$8,206Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$6,559Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$4,952Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$131KVerified lifetime PnL
$126KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $504 |
| 2026-09 | 15 | $5K |
Which boards
Politics 14Sports 10Culture 6Tech 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured22
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scope24 days
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$131K
Verification gap$126K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)