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Mithrandir.

0xb17d4706e45bf0935acc338162bd40af837e59ae

Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Lifetime PnL (Polymarket)+$11K
Last 30 days-$981
Volume$2.45M
Closed positions read400

Someone looked this wallet up, so ProbPocket computed it overnight. It is not on the daily leaderboard, so there is no board history or verdict here. The live numbers below replace this copy whenever Polymarket can be read.

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What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Politics +$8,373 · loses the most in Sports -$1,625

Politics245 pos.+$8,373
Finance11 pos.+$4,151
Culture46 pos.+$2,209
Weather2 pos.+$74.3
Crypto8 pos.-$259
Tech & science53 pos.-$1,400
Sports35 pos.-$1,625

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$2,671MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
  2. +$1,694NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
  3. +$1,152Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture · No
  4. +$925Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?Culture · No
  5. +$873Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics · Yes / No

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$1,816US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics · Yes
  2. -$1,774Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture · No
  3. -$1,144Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics · No
  4. -$1,073Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
  5. -$1,010Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

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Computed 2026-11-01 · looked up 1× in the last 30 days