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0xb1ae2773df489279cff5026cf2c9eff218873f6a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 20% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 20%Verified PnL#496 of 624
Beats 35%30-day PnL#382 of 594
Beats 10%Win rate#529 of 592
Beats 34%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#406 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-23
Last seen2026-06-26
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$543
Verified lifetime PnL
$133KVolume
38.3%Win rate · n=107
0.41%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$543
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $239only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1partial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.41% ROI32.3% Win rate · n=127
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$3,903 · loses the most in Politics -$82.37
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,661Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Finance · Yes
- +$1,484Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Finance · Yes
- +$739Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Finance · Yes
- +$242Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Finance · Yes
- +$195Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$202Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?Finance · Yes
- -$154Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Finance · Yes
- -$93.55Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?Finance · Yes
- -$54.94Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Crypto · Yes
- -$50Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?Finance · Yes
Covers all 108 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$543Verified lifetime PnL
$2KBelow board-day sum
6Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $426 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $2K |
Which boards
Finance 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
2% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio2%
Fills measured365
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scope241 days
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$1
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-09 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$543
Verification gap-$2K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)