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0xb22682e5efaaa5ae3f48c3b727cf78ae57c04163
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 17% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 17%Verified PnL#516 of 624
Beats 36%30-day PnL#376 of 594
Beats 62%Win rate#220 of 592
Beats 16%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#518 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board10
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-04
Last seen2026-09-10
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$309
Verified lifetime PnL
$346KVolume
70.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.09%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1457-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$309
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $761only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$18partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.09% ROI68.1% Win rate · n=442
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$2,299
Top 5 winning markets
- +$456Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?Politics · No
- +$387Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?Sports · No
- +$333Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?Weather · Yes
- +$271Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Finance · No
- +$263Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$210US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics · No
- -$208Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 Week of May 11 2026?Finance · No
- -$205Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Finance · No
- -$204Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Finance · No
- -$199Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$309Verified lifetime PnL
$934Below board-day sum
10Days on board
$624Board-day sum
-$1457-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | $169 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $128 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $327 |
Which boards
Sports 6Weather 5Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $18 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-11-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$18
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$18
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-22 → 2026-09-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$624
Verified lifetime PnL-$309
Verification gap-$934
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)