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0xb295b1b699304badefd8559a7573151e5c804ee4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 22% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 22%Verified PnL#484 of 624
Beats 17%30-day PnL#490 of 594
Beats 84%Win rate#94 of 592
Beats 13%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#536 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board10
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-30
Last seen2026-08-27
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.53MVolume
85%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.28%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
-$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2,591
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,251only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$366partial
Liquidity rewards$27
0.10% ROI64.8% Win rate · n=523
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$121.7K · loses the most in Tech & science -$471
Top 5 winning markets
- +$10.9KWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?Sports · Yes
- +$8,879Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?Sports · Yes
- +$8,147Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports · Yes
- +$7,775Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Sports · Yes
- +$7,665Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerSports · Djokovic
Top 5 losing markets
- -$12.4KWill Everton win on 2024-12-07?Sports · Yes / No
- -$2,882Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Politics · No
- -$1,820Trump releases Epstein list today?Politics · No
- -$1,634Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$1,549Will Serhou Guirassy be the top Champions League scorer?Sports · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KBelow board-day sum
10Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
-$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $635 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $10K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $1K |
Which boards
Sports 7Politics 2Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
76% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $366 (94% maker / 6% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio76%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$366
Maker rebate$344
Taker rebate$21
Maker share94%
Taker share6%
Window2026-04-11 → 2026-10-13
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap-$10K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)