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Raskell
0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 62% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 62%Verified PnL#426 of 1130
Beats 9%30-day PnL#731 of 810
Beats 44%Win rate#512 of 928
Beats 77%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#211 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board52
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-03
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$72K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.70MVolume
63%Win rate (sample) · n=386
2.44%PnL ÷ Volume
-$20K7-day PnL
-$20K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$71.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $21only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$598partial
Liquidity rewards$1,392
2.66% ROI62.6% Win rate · n=388
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$48.1K · loses the most in Finance -$960
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,800France vs. England: O/U 6.5Sports · Over
- +$4,333Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?Culture · Yes
- +$4,145Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Japan by August 31?Weather · Yes / No
- +$3,997US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$3,155Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,911France vs. England: O/U 5.5Sports · Under
- -$4,877Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$1,717San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersSports · Los Angeles Dodgers
- -$1,231Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$1,209Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$982). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$72KVerified lifetime PnL
$52KEarned off the board
52Days on board
$19KBoard-day sum
-$20K7-day PnL
-$20K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $595 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 29Culture 9Tech 8Mentions 6Finance 5Sports 4Weather 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
69% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $598 (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio69%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-07
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$598
Maker rebate$575
Taker rebate$23
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-10-17
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$19K
Verified lifetime PnL$72K
Verification gap$52K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)