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rando12345
0xb401123e33dbbe1d575c4ee4f30c714a2819df2a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 40% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 40%Verified PnL#672 of 1130
Beats 46%30-day PnL#433 of 810
Beats 46%Win rate#501 of 928
Beats 50%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#477 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$17K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.95MVolume
63.7%Win rate (sample) · n=377
0.86%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$16.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $206only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$107partial
Liquidity rewards$1,208
0.86% ROI63.5% Win rate · n=378
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$9,621 · loses the most in Other -$1,034
Top 5 winning markets
- +$11.0KEthereum all time high by September 30?Crypto · No
- +$4,402Will Ethereum reach $5000 August 25–31?Crypto · No
- +$2,667Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?Finance · Yes / No
- +$2,300Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Politics · Yes
- +$2,241Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?Politics · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$10.2KWill Ethereum reach $5000 in September?Crypto · Yes
- -$5,041NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$4,182Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?Crypto · Yes
- -$2,365Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$2,172NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$12.1). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$17KVerified lifetime PnL
$14KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $174 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $455 |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $216 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $216 |
Which boards
Tech 8Politics 6Finance 3Crypto 1Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $107 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$107
Maker rebate$104
Taker rebate$3
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-04-19 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$17K
Verification gap$14K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)