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0xb47e0ebd655e6b0190a26b2814a9a2282dc0c602
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 12%Verified PnL#547 of 624
Beats 18%30-day PnL#487 of 594
Beats 83%Win rate#95 of 592
Beats 12%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#545 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board49
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-16
Last seen2026-10-01
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$16K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.35MVolume
84.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.47%PnL ÷ Volume
$2007-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$15.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,814only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$156partial
Liquidity rewards$1,584
-0.47% ROI39.2% Win rate · n=865
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$28.7K · loses the most in Tech & science -$3,041
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,955Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 4?Politics · Yes
- +$4,650NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics Sports · 76ers
- +$2,620Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$2,490Rockets vs. KingsSports · Kings
- +$2,275Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-22?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$615Panthers vs. HurricanesSports · Panthers
- -$612Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Sports · Under
- -$611Hornets vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Sports · Under
- -$611Bulls vs. NetsSports · Bulls
- -$611Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$16KVerified lifetime PnL
$30KBelow board-day sum
49Days on board
$14KBoard-day sum
$2007-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 13 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $325 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $90 |
Which boards
Sports 32Mentions 14Weather 7Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
32% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $156 (30% maker / 70% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio32%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$156
Maker rebate$46
Taker rebate$110
Maker share30%
Taker share70%
Window2026-04-19 → 2026-10-24
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$14K
Verified lifetime PnL-$16K
Verification gap-$30K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)