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hot2trot
0xb61b2079b95f6b7476fd3203e0274ffb93308a06
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 97% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 97%Verified PnL#34 of 1130
Beats 90%Win rate#85 of 928
Beats 98%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#14 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-23
Last seen2026-07-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$2.09M
Verified lifetime PnL
$13.65MVolume
92.5%Win rate · n=40
15.33%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2.09M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $789only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$28.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$1,275
15.3% ROI60.7% Win rate · n=61
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$2.11M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$677.5KSpread: Spain (-1.5)Sports · Spain
- +$312.6KFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$237.5KSpread: France (-1.5)Sports · Paraguay
- +$231.1KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$228.8KSpread: Morocco (-1.5)Sports · Morocco
Top 5 losing markets
- -$377.7KSpread: France (-1.5)Sports · Sweden
- -$307.3KEngland vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSports · England
- -$280.0KSpread: United States (-1.5)Sports · Bosnia and Herzegovina
- -$174.0KCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Sports · Over / Under
- -$127.5KWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?Sports · Yes
Covers all 61 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 21 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1.78M). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$2.09MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.43MEarned off the board
8Days on board
$662KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 5 | $460K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $202K |
Which boards
Sports 8All markets 4
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $29K (46% maker / 54% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$29K
Maker rebate$13K
Taker rebate$15K
Maker share46%
Taker share54%
Window2026-06-23 → 2026-07-20
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$662K
Verified lifetime PnL$2.09M
Verification gap$1.43M
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)