ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0xb6fef4c2…
0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 70% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 70%Verified PnL#342 of 1156
Beats 21%Win rate#755 of 963
Beats 33%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#661 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board24
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-03-31
Last seen2026-11-05
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$118K
Verified lifetime PnL
$31.66MVolume
51%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.31%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$117.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $7only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$37
0.37% ROI48.5% Win rate · n=464
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$172.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,636Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 28?Crypto · No
- +$5,188Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?Crypto · Yes
- +$4,785Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?Crypto · Yes
- +$4,554Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?Crypto · Yes
- +$4,453Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$14.2KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$11.5KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?Crypto · Yes / No
- -$11.2KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?Crypto · No
- -$9,907Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 4?Crypto · No
- -$9,323Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?Crypto · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 44 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$8.36). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$118KVerified lifetime PnL
$55KEarned off the board
24Days on board
$62KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $16K |
| 2026-04 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $451 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $12K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $12K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $19K |
Which boards
Crypto 24
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$62K
Verified lifetime PnL$118K
Verification gap$55K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)