ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsRr55
0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 45% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 45%Verified PnL#340 of 624
Beats 28%30-day PnL#425 of 594
Beats 67%Win rate#193 of 592
Beats 42%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#356 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board54
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$39K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.65MVolume
73.2%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.68%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
$730-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$38.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $84only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$837partial
Liquidity rewards$5,397partial
0.69% ROI61.1% Win rate · n=478
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$4,911 · loses the most in Politics -$4,418
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,679Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$3,674Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$3,278Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Politics · Yes
- +$2,939Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,321Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,655US military action against Iran by Saturday?Politics · No
- -$3,386Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$3,214US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · No
- -$3,213Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$2,330Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$39KVerified lifetime PnL
$33KEarned off the board
54Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
$730-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $749 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $779 |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $965 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $365 |
Which boards
Politics 30Tech 11Weather 10Finance 4Culture 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $837 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured493
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$837
Maker rebate$837
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-13 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL$39K
Verification gap$33K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)