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← All boardsWeatherstappen
0xb9012e0d9b60d3920286309328b935cdfa609fc4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 50% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 50%Verified PnL#309 of 624
Beats 38%30-day PnL#366 of 594
Beats 98%Win rate#9 of 592
Beats 73%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#168 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-14
Last seen2026-07-10
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$51K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.44MVolume
99.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.05%PnL ÷ Volume
$6617-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$51.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $121only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$66partial
Liquidity rewards$10
2.10% ROI98.8% Win rate · n=404
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$32.2K · loses the most in Sports -$29
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,397Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12?Weather · Yes
- +$910Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?Weather · No
- +$739Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 12?Weather · No
- +$713MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · Yes / No
- +$606Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 17?Weather · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$750Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?Weather · No / Yes
- -$710MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Finance · Yes
- -$452Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?Weather · No
- -$428Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?Weather · No
- -$186Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 26?Weather · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$51KVerified lifetime PnL
$44KEarned off the board
9Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$6617-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $7K |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $362 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $141 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $66 |
Which boards
Weather 9
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
85% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $66 (77% maker / 23% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio85%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$66
Maker rebate$51
Taker rebate$15
Maker share77%
Taker share23%
Window2026-04-12 → 2026-09-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$51K
Verification gap$44K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)