ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
afghj2421
0xb91aeb5accc33a5f9a8615b8ed6b2d352e913987
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 95% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 95%Verified PnL#53 of 1130
Beats 40%Win rate#549 of 928
Beats 96%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#33 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-14
Last seen2026-06-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.57M
Verified lifetime PnL
$15.27MVolume
60.4%Win rate · n=139
10.31%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.57M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,560only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19.8Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$149
10.3% ROI60.4% Win rate · n=139
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1.57M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$140.7KKansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsSports · Kansas City Royals
- +$135.5KCleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesSports · Cleveland Guardians
- +$128.3KDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysSports · Detroit Tigers
- +$119.8KLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSports · Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$117.4KLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSports · Arizona Diamondbacks
Top 5 losing markets
- -$142.7KWashington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSports · Arizona Diamondbacks
- -$138.5KWashington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsSports · San Francisco Giants
- -$119.0KCleveland Guardians vs. Texas RangersSports · Cleveland Guardians
- -$115.5KAthletics vs. San Diego PadresSports · San Diego Padres
- -$112.9KBoston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Sports · Under
Covers all 139 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$1.57MVerified lifetime PnL
$351KEarned off the board
15Days on board
$1.22MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 7 | $392K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $833K |
Which boards
Sports 15All markets 14
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $20K (70% maker / 30% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$20K
Maker rebate$14K
Taker rebate$6K
Maker share70%
Taker share30%
Window2026-05-13 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1.22M
Verified lifetime PnL$1.57M
Verification gap$351K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)