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Gracious-Hugger
0xb9eb019d3d00b8d32ef1f2ddb697a7d1cbc7ab05
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 4% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 4%Verified PnL#593 of 624
Beats 42%Win rate#343 of 592
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$362K
Verified lifetime PnL
$238KVolume
59.4%Win rate · n=32
$2K7-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$361.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
— ROI59.4% Win rate · n=32
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Other -$291.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$98.9KWill Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?Other · No / Yes
- +$12.8KWill the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021?Other · No / Yes
- +$12.3KWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?Other · No
- +$4,879What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?Other · Short / Long
- +$3,060Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?Other · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$227.3KWill Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021?Other · Yes / No
- -$196.2KWill 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?Other · No / Yes
- -$8,520Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?Other · Yes / No
- -$75.13Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match?Other · No / Yes
- -$60.69Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 165 Gwei on February 16?Other · No / Yes
Covers all 36 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$362KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.05MBelow board-day sum
21Days on board
$687KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $7K |
| 2026-04 | 3 | $7K |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $103K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $93K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $282K |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $189K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $3K |
Which boards
Culture 21
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured2
Window ends2026-02-25
Window scope0 days
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$687K
Verified lifetime PnL-$362K
Verification gap-$1.05M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)