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0xba0d049aa32383efdcb1b5e6535dcd984c369a6e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 12%Verified PnL#548 of 624
Beats 64%30-day PnL#212 of 594
Beats 14%Win rate#508 of 592
Beats 6%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#581 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board47
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-11
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$17K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.01MVolume
43.1%Win rate (sample) · n=390
-1.65%PnL ÷ Volume
$16K7-day PnL
$18K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$16.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,363only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$511partial
Liquidity rewards$1,289
-1.65% ROI42.2% Win rate · n=398
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$8,718
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,607Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,484Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto · No
- +$1,816Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
- +$1,129Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$730Hawks vs. KnicksSports · Hawks
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,780Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto · No
- -$2,401Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto · No
- -$1,750Bruins vs. CanucksSports · Canucks
- -$1,725Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto · No
- -$1,680Lakers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$17KVerified lifetime PnL
$50KBelow board-day sum
47Days on board
$33KBoard-day sum
$16K7-day PnL
$18K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $6K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $8K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $10K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $7K |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $597 |
Which boards
Crypto 45Sports 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
32% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $511 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio32%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$511
Maker rebate$493
Taker rebate$18
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-02-15 → 2026-09-19
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$33K
Verified lifetime PnL-$17K
Verification gap-$50K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)