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0xbb9c165825e9f233d1f611b50b193fe94513072b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 70% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 70%Verified PnL#184 of 624
Beats 31%30-day PnL#409 of 594
Beats 63%Win rate#214 of 592
Beats 77%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#140 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-22
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$207K
Verified lifetime PnL
$9.07MVolume
71.2%Win rate (sample) · n=399
2.28%PnL ÷ Volume
$747-day PnL
$28730-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$206.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,066only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$542partial
Liquidity rewards$148
2.28% ROI71% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$125.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$19.7KWyoming vs. Central MichiganSports · Central Michigan
- +$10.0KWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Culture · No
- +$8,669Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Culture · No
- +$8,254Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?Politics · Yes
- +$8,048Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,084Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Culture · No
- -$2,085Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,753Canada election called by midnight?Politics · No
- -$1,325Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$1,314Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$207KVerified lifetime PnL
$203KEarned off the board
23Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$747-day PnL
$28730-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $66 |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $20 |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $449 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $29 |
Which boards
Tech 12Mentions 3Crypto 3Culture 2Sports 2Politics 1Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
64% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $542 (74% maker / 26% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio64%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-09-22
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$542
Maker rebate$403
Taker rebate$139
Maker share74%
Taker share26%
Window2026-04-11 → 2026-09-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$207K
Verification gap$203K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)