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rocky42014
0xbb9f224569285cb57f433bbe2e71f9b8a11b557b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 33% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 33%Verified PnL#749 of 1130
Beats 40%30-day PnL#485 of 810
Beats 14%Win rate#797 of 928
Beats 24%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#725 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board38
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$11.18MVolume
46.5%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.07%PnL ÷ Volume
$2487-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$7,629
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4,714partial
Liquidity rewards$7,867partial
0.07% ROI46.4% Win rate · n=425
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$38.5K · loses the most in Tech & science -$35.51
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,693Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,657Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?Sports · No / Yes
- +$1,643Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-10?Sports · No / Yes
- +$1,306Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsSports · M80
- +$1,240Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-03-08?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$743Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?Sports · Yes
- -$612Games Total: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
- -$603Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-25?Sports · Yes
- -$599Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Sports · Manchester City FC
- -$582Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-15?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 15 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$407). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$1KBelow board-day sum
38Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
$2487-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $876 |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $307 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $243 |
Which boards
Sports 18Weather 7Culture 6Politics 4Tech 3Finance 3Mentions 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $5K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$5K
Maker rebate$5K
Taker rebate$4
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-01 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$8K
Verification gap-$1K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)