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0xbc3e0e48…
0xbc3e0e480f7f75b76b96bdc46ece11ab6f3f6693
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 27% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 27%Verified PnL#841 of 1156
Beats 10%Win rate#859 of 963
Beats 43%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#567 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board11
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-08-05
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1K
Verified lifetime PnL
$215KVolume
43.3%Win rate · n=67
0.65%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1,161
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$534
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
0.54% ROI43.3% Win rate · n=67
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$1,893 · loses the most in Politics -$704
Top 5 winning markets
- +$936Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$595US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics · No
- +$592Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$478US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics · No
- +$391Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,626Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics · Yes
- -$463Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$457Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics · Yes
- -$335Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$328Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
Covers all 73 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$1KVerified lifetime PnL
$213Earned off the board
11Days on board
$948Board-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $174 |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $228 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $59 |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $462 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $24 |
Which boards
Tech 8Finance 2Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured249
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scope190 days
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$948
Verified lifetime PnL$1K
Verification gap$213
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)