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0xbca82ff9…
0xbca82ff9891c5358b33d565c4f4739e4d812b680
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 9% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$56K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$30.6K · loses the most in Politics -$5,745
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,797Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$2,006Will SC Austria Lustenau win on 2026-10-29?Sports · Yes
- +$1,707Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?Sports · Yes
- +$1,631Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$1,427AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Sports · Under
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,195Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- -$1,679Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$754Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sports · Racing Club de Lens
- -$719Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$703Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)Sports · FC Bayern München
Covers the 232 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 109 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$77.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $7K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
67% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)