ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

AreteM

0xbd5cc5ccd98bf9f10af35b21d8540394de298ae8

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 24% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 24%Verified PnL#850 of 1130

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board6
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-09-04
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$454

Verified lifetime PnL

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$454

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid$819
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$1
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMid-price trader83% of 247 buys between 35¢ and 65¢Mainly sports81% of last 332 fills (over 387.7 days) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$4,051 · loses the most in Weather -$2.1

Sports177 pos.+$4,051
Crypto29 pos.+$82.76
Finance2 pos.+$20.56
Weather1 pos.-$2.1

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$2,372Golden Knights vs. PenguinsSports · Golden Knights
  2. +$2,279Flames vs. SharksSports · Flames
  3. +$1,181Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Sports · Under
  4. +$950Wild vs. SabresSports · Sabres / Wild
  5. +$942Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 41.5Sports · Under

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$1,680Spread: Virginia (-3.5)Sports · Virginia
  2. -$1,614Hurricanes vs. CapitalsSports · Capitals
  3. -$1,546Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Sports · Over
  4. -$1,450Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysSports · Tampa Bay Rays
  5. -$1,400Devils vs. Golden KnightsSports · Golden Knights

Covers all 209 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 21 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$11.1K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$454Verified lifetime PnL
$375Below board-day sum
6Days on board
$830Board-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-09 6 $830

Which boards

Sports 6

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$830
Verified lifetime PnL$454
Verification gap-$375

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)