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ief
0xbd5f04ea460b2f31eeee8f4259d05c8d978d38b9
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 35% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 35%Verified PnL#724 of 1130
Beats 52%30-day PnL#387 of 810
Beats 70%Win rate#278 of 928
Beats 95%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#44 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-07-19
Last seen2026-09-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$130KVolume
75.6%Win rate · n=41
7.92%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$9,794
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$400
Rebates (maker + taker)$58partial
Liquidity rewards$30
7.52% ROI37.4% Win rate · n=83
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$5,115 · loses the most in Culture -$200
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,973Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,040Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?Sports · Yes
- +$978Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?Sports · Yes
- +$920China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak DjokovicSports · Novak Djokovic
- +$590Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael JodarSports · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Top 5 losing markets
- -$820Thunder vs. CavaliersSports · Cavaliers
- -$500Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?Sports · Yes
- -$414Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?Sports · Yes
- -$280China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran SunSports · Xinran Sun
- -$253France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
Covers all 83 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 42 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$5,368). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KEarned off the board
8Days on board
$261Board-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 2 | $51 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $57 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $153 |
Which boards
Sports 4Culture 2Tech 2
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $58 (83% maker / 17% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$58
Maker rebate$48
Taker rebate$10
Maker share83%
Taker share17%
Window2026-08-01 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$261
Verified lifetime PnL$10K
Verification gap$10K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)