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0xbe7c0363ec2f0d12630fd48ac4c87ce84f418356
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 24% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 24%Verified PnL#473 of 624
Beats 64%30-day PnL#211 of 594
Beats 39%Win rate#358 of 592
Beats 33%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#413 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-23
Last seen2026-09-07
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.03MVolume
57.5%Win rate (sample) · n=393
0.38%PnL ÷ Volume
$10K7-day PnL
$18K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$4,107
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $186only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$27partial
Liquidity rewards$194
0.40% ROI57.5% Win rate · n=393
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2,069 · loses the most in Finance -$176
Top 5 winning markets
- +$537Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture · No
- +$385Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Politics · No
- +$287Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Culture · No
- +$256Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Culture · No
- +$239Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Tech & science · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$422Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Culture · Yes
- -$243Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?Politics · No
- -$212Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$150Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$141Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Culture · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$204Earned off the board
6Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$10K7-day PnL
$18K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $180 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $58 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $18 |
Which boards
Tech 4Politics 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
43% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $27 (63% maker / 37% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio43%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-09
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$27
Maker rebate$17
Taker rebate$10
Maker share63%
Taker share37%
Window2026-05-13 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$4K
Verification gap$204
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)