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← All boardsBilberry
0xbf13934a1fec7d3211fc15c138d84ac2a691b91a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 50% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 50%Verified PnL#312 of 624
Beats 66%30-day PnL#201 of 594
Beats 34%Win rate#385 of 592
Beats 64%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#223 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board31
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-14
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$50K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.46MVolume
54.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.54%PnL ÷ Volume
$7K7-day PnL
$20K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$49.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,978partial
Liquidity rewards$0
2.02% ROI47.5% Win rate · n=461
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$34.4K · loses the most in Tech & science -$385
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,887Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?Weather · Yes
- +$1,869Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?Weather · Yes
- +$1,520Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1?Weather · Yes
- +$1,198Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23?Weather · Yes
- +$1,169Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 5?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$739Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?Weather · Yes
- -$733Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5?Weather · No
- -$726Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?Weather · Yes
- -$721Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?Weather · Yes
- -$721Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$50KVerified lifetime PnL
$30KEarned off the board
31Days on board
$19KBoard-day sum
$7K7-day PnL
$20K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 6 | $471 |
| 2026-09 | 22 | $14K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $5K |
Which boards
Weather 31
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
9% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio9%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$3K
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-08-17 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$19K
Verified lifetime PnL$50K
Verification gap$30K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)