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0xbf216238277f1ba267a7f3bae1a336fd6cb5be19
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 54% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 54%Verified PnL#287 of 624
Beats 31%30-day PnL#407 of 594
Beats 5%Win rate#559 of 592
Beats 82%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#112 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board20
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-09-10
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$66K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.48MVolume
32.6%Win rate (sample) · n=399
2.64%PnL ÷ Volume
$1377-day PnL
$29430-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$66.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $116only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$149partial
Liquidity rewards$1,438
2.67% ROI30.2% Win rate · n=431
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$85.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$31.0KWill Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?Finance · No
- +$12.5KS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Finance · Down
- +$7,379Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?Finance · No
- +$5,981S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Finance · Down
- +$5,657Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on February 3?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8,507Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto · No
- -$5,376Will Meta (META) close above $660 on February 9?Finance · No
- -$3,401Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $90?Finance · No
- -$3,158Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Finance · No
- -$3,073RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$66KVerified lifetime PnL
$48KEarned off the board
20Days on board
$18KBoard-day sum
$1377-day PnL
$29430-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $12K |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $222 |
| 2026-05 | 3 | $677 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $732 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $399 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $131 |
Which boards
Crypto 16Finance 3Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
76% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $149 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio76%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$149
Maker rebate$149
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-02-24 → 2026-06-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$18K
Verified lifetime PnL$66K
Verification gap$48K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)