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jole24
0xbfdfe31978b9ba79056b884ccf3bbc9225718e02
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 16% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 16%Verified PnL#941 of 1130
Beats 34%Win rate#612 of 928
Beats 18%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#776 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board44
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$9K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.17MVolume
56.7%Win rate (sample) · n=397
-0.09%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$8,701
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $162only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$510
-0.17% ROI26.8% Win rate · n=840
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$45.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,600Raptors vs. TimberwolvesSports · Timberwolves
- +$4,327Bengals vs. RavensSports · Bengals
- +$3,600Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?Sports · Yes
- +$3,520Wizards vs. PistonsSports · Wizards
- +$3,080Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,320LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageSports · Shopify Rebellion
- -$2,650Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?Sports · No
- -$2,522Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Sports · Over
- -$2,520Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern TigersSports · Southern Jaguars
- -$2,520Hornets vs. SunsSports · Hornets
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 443 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$274.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$9KVerified lifetime PnL
$43KBelow board-day sum
44Days on board
$34KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $4K |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $4K |
Which boards
Sports 44
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
78% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio78%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-14
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$34K
Verified lifetime PnL-$9K
Verification gap-$43K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)