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0xc03ce4d8af842ca6251ac57228b3ffb166ed50af
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 69% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 69%Verified PnL#191 of 624
Beats 78%30-day PnL#130 of 594
Beats 48%Win rate#303 of 592
Beats 48%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#322 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board57
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-08
Last seen2026-09-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$188K
Verified lifetime PnL
$21.79MVolume
63.6%Win rate · n=22
0.86%PnL ÷ Volume
$63K7-day PnL
$58K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$188.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $32only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$376partial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.86% ROI6.60% Win rate · n=212
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$105.7K · loses the most in Sports -$24.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$54.8KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$24.5KWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$15.2KWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$10.5KWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Finance · Yes / No
- +$9,049Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$34.0KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No / Yes
- -$319Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
- -$298Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?Finance · Yes
- -$298Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Finance · Yes
- -$298Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Finance · Yes
Covers all 34 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$188KVerified lifetime PnL
$40KEarned off the board
57Days on board
$149KBoard-day sum
$63K7-day PnL
$58K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 13 | $20K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 18 | $115K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $10K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $314 |
Which boards
Politics 48Sports 13All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $376 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-31
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$376
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$376
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-06-21 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$149K
Verified lifetime PnL$188K
Verification gap$40K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)