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0xc2e7800b5af46e6093872b177b7a5e7f0563be51
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 99% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 99%Verified PnL#5 of 624
Beats 23%30-day PnL#453 of 594
Beats 36%Win rate#374 of 592
Beats 79%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#127 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board13
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-08-30
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$5.83M
Verified lifetime PnL
$239.13MVolume
55.6%Win rate · n=232
2.44%PnL ÷ Volume
-$7547-day PnL
-$51730-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$5.83M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $203.6Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$42.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$9
2.44% ROI55.6% Win rate · n=232
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$5.83M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3.49MWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?Sports · No
- +$3.08MWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?Sports · Yes
- +$2.92MWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?Sports · Yes
- +$2.91MWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?Sports · No
- +$2.57MWill Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4.21MWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?Sports · Yes
- -$3.79MWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?Sports · Yes
- -$3.77MWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?Sports · Yes
- -$3.13MWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?Sports · Yes
- -$2.76MWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?Sports · Yes
Covers the 232 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$5.83MVerified lifetime PnL
$3.93MEarned off the board
13Days on board
$1.90MBoard-day sum
-$7547-day PnL
-$51730-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $601K |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $248 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $275K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $744K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $280K |
Which boards
Sports 10All markets 9Politics 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
60% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $42K (2% maker / 98% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Head-to-heads with other top wallets:
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio60%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-09
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$42K
Maker rebate$999
Taker rebate$41K
Maker share2%
Taker share98%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-09-10
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1.90M
Verified lifetime PnL$5.83M
Verification gap$3.93M
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)