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penguinec
0xc33d6aa3eb972639f31e46a6a02201cece380d40
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 37% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 37%Verified PnL#703 of 1130
Beats 19%30-day PnL#656 of 810
Beats 21%Win rate#730 of 928
Beats 37%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#592 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board66
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-24
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.67MVolume
51%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.45%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$12.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $19only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,220partial
Liquidity rewards$516
0.45% ROI45.1% Win rate · n=452
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$16.5K · loses the most in Culture -$14.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,415Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu EfesSports · Fenerbahce
- +$1,926Paris Basketball vs. BCM Gravelines DunkerqueSports · BCM Gravelines Dunkerque
- +$1,634Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Sports · Over
- +$1,584Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight RidersSports · Mumbai Indians
- +$1,569Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Sports · Under
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,097Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture · No
- -$2,648Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Culture · Yes
- -$2,447Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 2 WinnerSports · Fnatic
- -$2,050Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Culture · Yes
- -$1,652Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)Sports · Phoenix Mercury
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 52 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$7.53). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$12KVerified lifetime PnL
$14KBelow board-day sum
66Days on board
$26KBoard-day sum
-$2K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $7K |
| 2026-05 | 15 | $10K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 19 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $621 |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $155 |
Which boards
Sports 52Mentions 15Culture 5Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $2K (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$222
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-11-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$26K
Verified lifetime PnL$12K
Verification gap-$14K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)