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StayFreshCheeseBags

0xc34f6b088bb9172625ee1ea2ee8da9ac4f037d2e

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 24% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 24%Verified PnL#472 of 624
Beats 37%30-day PnL#372 of 594
Beats 58%Win rate#244 of 592
Beats 21%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#488 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board53
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-21
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$4K

Verified lifetime PnL

$8.65MVolume
68.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.03%PnL ÷ Volume
$9237-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$4,311

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$10.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$274
0.05% ROI30.7% Win rate · n=897

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly maker100% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsMainly weather100% of last 500 fills (over 7.8 h) are weather marketsAverages down53% of 64 multi-buy positions added 10%+ below the first priceRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Weather -$549

Weather400 pos.-$549

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$412Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?Weather · Yes
  2. +$400Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?Weather · Yes
  3. +$386Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 21?Weather · No
  4. +$367Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?Weather · Yes
  5. +$353Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?Weather · Yes

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$957Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on January 11?Weather · Yes
  2. -$524Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?Weather · No
  3. -$506Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?Weather · No
  4. -$492Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?Weather · No
  5. -$449Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?Weather · No

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$4KBelow board-day sum
53Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
$9237-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 4 $2K
2026-05 11 $1K
2026-06 14 $2K
2026-07 9 $2K
2026-08 6 $584
2026-09 9 $369

Which boards

Weather 53

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $11K (100% maker / 0% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$11K
Maker rebate$11K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-10-23

Profit composition

Insufficient data

Trade cash$61K
Rebate$660
Net total$62K
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-31

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL$4K
Verification gap-$4K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)