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0xc38904e5da4c2e962e2a3c72511bfdddaa42d228
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 34% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 34%Verified PnL#407 of 625
Beats 42%Win rate#327 of 566
Beats 40%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#350 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board13
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-07-26
Last seen2026-10-10
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$17K
Verified lifetime PnL
$925KVolume
59.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.69%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$16.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$216
1.81% ROI26.4% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$102.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,956Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$6,185Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$5,554Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCrypto · Down / Up
- +$5,033Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$4,475Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,750Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$2,500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$2,500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$2,090Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCrypto · Down / Up
- -$1,789Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$17KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KEarned off the board
13Days on board
$15KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 1 | $207 |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $13K |
Which boards
Crypto 13
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured494
Window ends2026-10-07
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$15K
Verified lifetime PnL$17K
Verification gap$2K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)