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oceanmist79
0xc401fdf872a9c93e06a9b332987a887f1d698b2c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 15%Verified PnL#978 of 1156
Beats 38%Win rate#592 of 963
Beats 0%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#994 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-12
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$12K
Verified lifetime PnL
$189KVolume
59.1%Win rate · n=22
-6.37%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$12.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $320only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$5
-6.37% ROI52% Win rate · n=25
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$1,114 · loses the most in Politics -$13.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,677Biden drops out of presidential race?Politics · Yes
- +$968Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Tech & science · Yes
- +$694Claude 4.7 released by April 17?Tech & science · Yes
- +$616Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics · Yes
- +$441Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$10.2KKamala Harris wins the popular vote?Politics · Yes
- -$5,896Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- -$827Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics · Yes
- -$7892024 July hottest on record?Tech & science · No
- -$527Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
Covers all 25 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 3 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$343). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$12KVerified lifetime PnL
$17KBelow board-day sum
23Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $468 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $639 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $1K |
Which boards
Finance 22Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
4% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio4%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-06-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL-$12K
Verification gap-$17K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)