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rdba
0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 93% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 93%Verified PnL#77 of 1130
Beats 97%30-day PnL#18 of 810
Beats 64%Win rate#333 of 928
Beats 52%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#455 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board40
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-29
Last seen2026-08-13
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.20M
Verified lifetime PnL
$47.22MVolume
72.8%Win rate · n=243
0.92%PnL ÷ Volume
$861K7-day PnL
$803K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.20M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$811partial
Liquidity rewards$3,443
2.55% ROI59.6% Win rate · n=297
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$877.6K · loses the most in Sports -$190.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$358.4KWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$285.2KWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$196.5KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$49.0KWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Politics · Yes
- +$47.3KWill another country strike Iran by March 31?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$100.4KReds vs. PhilliesSports · Reds / Phillies
- -$58.9KBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$49.7KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- -$38.2KAngels vs. BravesSports · Braves
- -$32.3KAngels vs. BravesSports · Braves
Covers the 254 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 54 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$336.8K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$1.20MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.10MEarned off the board
40Days on board
$106KBoard-day sum
$861K7-day PnL
$803K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $11K |
| 2026-04 | 5 | $13K |
| 2026-05 | 15 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $28K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $712 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $45K |
Which boards
Politics 29Culture 7Finance 4Crypto 2All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $811 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-18
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$811
Maker rebate$810
Taker rebate$1
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-05 → 2026-11-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$106K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.20M
Verification gap$1.10M
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)