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vanguard2
0xc5391c6dfda1174e456b1bc7e05eb9d0179673d1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 15%Verified PnL#960 of 1130
Beats 62%30-day PnL#305 of 810
Beats 0%Win rate#928 of 928
Beats 12%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#832 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board25
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-08-13
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$14K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.10MVolume
0%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.44%PnL ÷ Volume
$15K7-day PnL
$15K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$13.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$10.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.44% ROI0.00% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$5,483
Top 5 winning markets
- +$573Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$479Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$479Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$479Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$479Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$701Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$601Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$600Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$402Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2999+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$40.5K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$14KVerified lifetime PnL
$25KBelow board-day sum
25Days on board
$12KBoard-day sum
$15K7-day PnL
$15K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $515 |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $1K |
Which boards
Crypto 25
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $10K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$10K
Maker rebate$10K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-15 → 2026-09-25
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$12K
Verified lifetime PnL-$14K
Verification gap-$25K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)