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0xc58ba11733ecdd0c9c77bb9261570656c2fbff58
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 19% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 19%Verified PnL#502 of 624
Beats 36%30-day PnL#379 of 594
Beats 13%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#535 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-21
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$31
Verified lifetime PnL
$76KVolume
75%Win rate · n=8
-0.28%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2K7-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$31
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $437only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19partial
Liquidity rewards$53
0.04% ROI— Win rate · n=18
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1,331
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,435Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?Sports · Yes
- +$797Will Greece win on 2026-09-24?Sports · Yes
- +$114Will AEK Athens win on 2026-08-22?Sports · Yes
- +$94.36S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?Finance · Up
- +$46.94Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,017US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos TsitsipasSports · Stefanos Tsitsipas / Jiri Lehecka
- -$70Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$22.68Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETCrypto · Up
Covers all 14 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$31Verified lifetime PnL
$2KBelow board-day sum
5Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
-$2K7-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 1 | $150 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $671 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $1K |
Which boards
Finance 3Tech 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
37% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $19 (47% maker / 53% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio37%
Fills measured68
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scope52 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$19
Maker rebate$9
Taker rebate$10
Maker share47%
Taker share53%
Window2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$31
Verification gap-$2K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)