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0xc62796d790c46a93f6511b112411f125714bcf54
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 17% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 17%Verified PnL#512 of 624
Beats 43%30-day PnL#337 of 594
Beats 91%Win rate#54 of 592
Beats 29%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#437 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-19
Last seen2026-10-08
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$120
Verified lifetime PnL
$804KVolume
91.9%Win rate · n=86
0.23%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$120
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $153only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$10partial
Liquidity rewards$7
-0.01% ROI87.8% Win rate · n=90
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$959 · loses the most in Politics -$413
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,052Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1,213Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$916Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his rally in Oklahoma?Politics · No
- +$581Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$466Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,814US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics · No
- -$1,097Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Politics · No
- -$974US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Politics · No
- -$579Trump renames AI by September 30?Politics · No
- -$166NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics · No
Covers all 93 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$120Verified lifetime PnL
$1KBelow board-day sum
5Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $148 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $915 |
Which boards
Politics 3Mentions 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
29% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $10 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio29%
Fills measured319
Window ends2026-10-02
Window scope59 days
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$10
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$10
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL-$120
Verification gap-$1K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)