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Cadabra
0xc65e8816443985b1148f03b8aea249fb96861502
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 48% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 48%Verified PnL#597 of 1156
Beats 53%Win rate#448 of 963
Beats 59%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#402 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board28
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-09-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$30K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.40MVolume
67.5%Win rate · n=80
1.25%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$29.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$133
1.25% ROI67.5% Win rate · n=80
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$12.6K · loses the most in Tech & science -$0.04
Top 5 winning markets
- +$14.2KTrump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Politics · No
- +$10.5KWill Trump and Harris debate before election?Politics · Yes
- +$9,989Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Sports · No
- +$8,434Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Politics · No
- +$7,798Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$24.5KTrump wins every swing state?Politics · No
- -$18.8KTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Politics · Yes / No
- -$2,101Aspinall vs. GaneSports · Aspinall
- -$340Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Politics · Yes
- -$259Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Finance · No
Covers all 82 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$30KVerified lifetime PnL
$12KEarned off the board
28Days on board
$18KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $844 |
Which boards
Politics 28
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
78% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio78%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-01-05
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$18K
Verified lifetime PnL$30K
Verification gap$12K
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)