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0xc74d5d872a14d5600dc816c0d1bc452423d4bb53
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 10% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 10%Verified PnL#558 of 624
Beats 12%30-day PnL#517 of 594
Beats 0%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#618 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-11
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$37K
Verified lifetime PnL
$440KVolume
92.9%Win rate · n=14
-11.82%PnL ÷ Volume
$9K7-day PnL
-$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$37.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,031only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$270partial
Liquidity rewards$33
-8.45% ROI40.6% Win rate · n=32
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$79.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$27.6KWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Sports · Yes
- +$12.8KUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Sports · Ciryl Gane
- +$12.2KCapitals vs. PredatorsSports · Capitals
- +$9,123Lightning vs. PredatorsSports · Predators
- +$5,296Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsSports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,173Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
Covers all 16 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$37KVerified lifetime PnL
$79KBelow board-day sum
23Days on board
$42KBoard-day sum
$9K7-day PnL
-$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $35K |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $247 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $15 |
Which boards
Sports 23
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
94% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $270 (85% maker / 15% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio94%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$270
Maker rebate$230
Taker rebate$40
Maker share85%
Taker share15%
Window2026-05-17 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$42K
Verified lifetime PnL-$37K
Verification gap-$79K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)