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0xc785252b25901a591e9d962e09f4342468444ef2
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 25% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 25%Verified PnL#468 of 624
Beats 80%30-day PnL#117 of 594
Beats 64%Win rate#212 of 592
Beats 16%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#517 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board34
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-14
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$5K
Verified lifetime PnL
$15.25MVolume
71.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.08%PnL ÷ Volume
-$23K7-day PnL
$74K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$4,937
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,725only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$13.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.03% ROI34.7% Win rate · n=821
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$32.2K · loses the most in Tech & science -$3,547
Top 5 winning markets
- +$27.3KOregon vs. Oklahoma StateSports · Oklahoma State
- +$23.5KWizards vs. BullsSports · Wizards
- +$23.4KWorld Championship of Legends: Bangladesh Champions vs West Indies ChampionsSports · West Indies Champions
- +$18.9KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$13.9KWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-21?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$32.4KUFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)Sports · Jeremiah Wells / Myktybek Orolbai
- -$14.2KShanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaSports · Alexander Zverev
- -$13.3KWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Sports · No
- -$11.5KWill India win?Sports · Yes
- -$10.4KW15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja SuvirdjonkovaSports · Darja Suvirdjonkova
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$5KVerified lifetime PnL
$33KBelow board-day sum
34Days on board
$38KBoard-day sum
-$23K7-day PnL
$74K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 7 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 13 | $10K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $22K |
Which boards
Sports 30Culture 3Tech 2
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $13K (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$13K
Maker rebate$26
Taker rebate$13K
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-15 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$1.89M
Rebate$8K
Net total$1.90M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$38K
Verified lifetime PnL$5K
Verification gap-$33K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)