ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsNoTeacher
0xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 23% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 23%Verified PnL#477 of 624
Beats 40%30-day PnL#356 of 594
Beats 50%Win rate#290 of 592
Beats 50%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#310 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board28
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-29
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$302KVolume
64.6%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.92%PnL ÷ Volume
$8997-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,066
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $343only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$105partial
Liquidity rewards$1,733
1.02% ROI64.6% Win rate · n=398
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$2,613 · loses the most in Crypto -$106
Top 5 winning markets
- +$570Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$445Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech & science · Yes
- +$435Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$344Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$174Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$368Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$294Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$266Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$245Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$217Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Tech & science · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KEarned off the board
28Days on board
$759Board-day sum
$8997-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $34 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $75 |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $319 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $119 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $211 |
Which boards
Tech 28
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
8% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $105 (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio8%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$105
Maker rebate$94
Taker rebate$12
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-06-08 → 2026-10-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$759
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap$2K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)